Monday, February 27, 2023

I do know that we're on the cusp of a great epoch of change that civilization is forward being propelled by AI technology.

 The government of China is divided from the business and cultural people of China.  It is spelling disaster for the Chinese business and trade, since the government claims their profits.  Moreover, American business is poised to enter China in a big way, including McDonalds.

If there's anything the West under US leadership can do now to bring the people of China closer to the West, it would lead to a period of splendor and plenty of years, Centuries of fruit blossoms!

My opinion.

Sunday, February 26, 2023

Electric car from China, BYD, looks like big winner!

They say it's like the Toyota.  Who seems having recall problems is the Tesla.

In building the EV car,  China's BYD is using automated workers, i.e., robots at some positions directed and controlled by computers.  That is, the car is using AI computers in its production line.

AI computers, incindentally, will soon be able to produce textbooks that are written without human hands, only able to think and write as no one computer or individual could by amassing so much data and information!  See the Economist magazine for reference, especially, February 4th, pp. 55ff!  

We have entered the AI technology, revolutionary world!  Hold on!

P.S. Article might have suggested, US venture capitalists are in the loop!  Banks with no human tellers, accountant AI machines!  No end the revolutionary changes just on the horizon to tomorrow!

And no end to tomorrow in sight!!

  


Biden's bills on infrastructure should deploy teams to hurry up the paper process.

 It could be years before all the legislation on new infrastructure would be accomplished.  What with getting started on free trade agreements over minerals needed for semiconductors, establishing new supply chains, etc.  There is need for several teams to be appointed to each project that achieves a purposeful end structure to hasten the time for getting all the approvals of the several governments that leads toward the final end achievement.

With AI use, the planning should be expansive and complete in no time.  And then, the teams to move each project along should go to it--onwards to Malaysia and Argentina for lithium.

Critics raise objection that the US is subsidizing protectionist industries.  But the manufacturing in US will hardly handle the needs of any one industry being developed on its soil.  It will need the international supply-chains of the industries worldwide to draw upon as well.


Disputes over South China Seas Waterway should be taken to a maritime arbitrator commission

Issues over fishing, oil and gas, and use of the Waterway in the South China Sea should be taken to the appropriate maritime commission to handle them.

It is hard for some country, especially smaller in size, to assert its rights to use the South China Sea without treading on what some other country's beliefs about his use of the Waterway; and feel bullied.

Nevertheless, the smaller countries are asserting their rights while simply trying to ignore the "bullying."

An the maritime commission should handle the outstanding disputant cases.   

My opinion.     

Saturday, February 25, 2023

A Bystander Observation of Federal Reserve recent ploy to handle inflation--

 I'm just a bystander, but I came across some data that caused me to wonder about the Federal Reserve's seeming insistence that a rise in inflation should be accompanied by a rise in unemployment--ultimately leading to a recession, possibly serious and lasting.  

The economists of another country I was talking with seemed to think the unemployment figures could withstand a march in step with inflation increments, (if both rising together then subsequently climbing onto the steps of a recession staircase. According to their theory, inflation figures could significantly increase, month after month, but not necessarily along with a significant increase in unemployment.  Hence, no recession follows.  I think I'm representing their position.

Nevertheless, Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, appears to be following the theory that the two variables are inherently linked. and as if both variables are rising together now.  So, his ultimate aim in the steps he's taking now, is to stave off, or to prepare for, a recession.  But unemployment figures aren't rising!

Amazing.  My observation--not all economists discern the closeness of these two phenomena, even if both together mean a recession, no matter its length.     

I was listening to the author of "Overrun" this morning.

"Overrun" is a recent study of immigrants entering from the US southern border.  I just spent 17 years in El Paso--recent tenure. 

What the author doesn't mention on the radio, is the pressure, rightfully,  US business has put on the government to bring in hard-working individuals to fill the vacancy of jobs here in the States.  Business needs workers!  Just look at the job vacancy stats.  And these potential workers in the States are good workers, not dope fiends, in my estimation.  

Business people founded the US; and business people have an important say in how it's run, today.  Personally, I think it no more than what migrants do: they send back money to where they've come, so that their former country prospers and shakes off poverty there.  I've seen the conditions in these Central American countries were offering to those that live there.  

What I'm hoping is that American business will consider also to establish their enterprises there in Central America.

My experiential opinion.


Friday, February 24, 2023

From the QA testing of new military hardware a Beta test group among US allies and friends is identified.

 One thing that the US military might take from the Ukrainian War assistance effort is the importance of engaging as many in the quality assurance stage of development of new weaponry.  Just in case it is necessary to have professionals already knowledgeable of how to deploy like experts the new items fast!

It's a small thing, but I think it instills confidence in the Allies that they truly are an integral part of the tech team.  There may come ideas for new products, or simply, changes to the one being tested, too. 

My opinion.

Thursday, February 23, 2023

I'm sitting here, wondering how President Biden has worked the miracle of transforming manufacturing in the US into the next Centuries through his Democratic legislation!

What an astounding piece of work!  Yet, he had to do it to set the US as the model for even the Advanced nations of Europe, etc. to follow. It is vital for the United States to forge ahead.

You can see how at once the attempts at being innovative by China and the status quo maintenance of the Russians are absurdities to the plans for progress already being enacted through the US Congress.  How did it happen?  Makes me wonder further, is he also a genius in international politics?  This is shocking--what he's been able to do for the US economy!

My opinion--I'm trying to catch up.

 

In a special way, the Ukrainians know Bucha.

 May those who died there, know they lived for freedom of their land. 

Wednesday, February 22, 2023

Can the Putin War be concluded without NATO intervention?

I don't see how.  Ukraine isn't big enough to go it alone to the end-game of negotiations.  It has to seek a power alliance with a prominent group, say, NATO.  That is, some power player--nation or alliance--needs to vouchsafe the terms of any peace agreement will be met. 

My opinion.   

Important news of African Governance: autocracies stabilize economic development and health care in their countries.

 The Economist offers data from the Mo Ibrahim Foundation that indicates non-democratic countries are doing well in the fields of personal health care and developing its nation's economy. (January 28 issue, p. 45)  Despite the fact that in one such country, Togo, the people are in favor of democracy overwhelmingly.


  

Under military rule, poverty of the middle-class set at $29 per month.

The Economist, January 28th issue, p. 43 offers this horrendous picture of near-poverty for the middle class Egyptian.  The private sector of the economy has suffered from inflation and business contraction.

The military has its own vast enterprises.  The government is involved in several businesses.  Now, apparently, it's the IMF to the rescue.  Is it possible to stave off the creditors?

Unlikely.  It's reported that Gulf States are buying Egyptian enterprises on the cheap.    

Thursday, February 16, 2023

Kennan Institute: "Implications of Russia's War on Ukrainian Identity and Governance" Discussion

The event carried online took place today, February 16, 2023, Thursday 3-4 PM at the Wilson Center.  The Director of the Kennan Institute William Pomeranz interviewed the guest speaker from Odessa National University, Professor V. Dubovyk.

The discussion really emphasized the break-apart of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s: would Ukrainians ever speak Russian again, now that it was an independent state, invalidating its close ties to Russia when under Russian control?  It seemed similar to the talk between parent and an errant teenager now launched on his own, demanding to be his own self, having his own personal identity.  The professor seemed to emphasize where Ukraine has come from when he referred to Georgia, also once under rule from Mother Russia, as failing to understand Ukraine's going to war with Russia, when both are alike, controlled  under a system of Russian oligarchs.

But Professor Dubovyk insisted the break-up is complete: "WE WILL WORK WITH NATO MORE," he averred.  No matter how the War turns out, he assured his audience, we will seek closer ties with NATO.  A question was asked of him from the audience: It's an issue of sovereignty--Who will guarantee your independence?

Now the answer to that question I have found in the words of the US Secretary of Defense, Lloyd Austin, when he suggested that never again should Russia be granted the opportunity to invade another sovereign state such as Ukraine; nor come to the aid and support of another autocratic regime such as in Venezuela or Syria: President Putin must be prevented from his avarice inclinations 

For the great meaning of the Ukrainian Conflict is that a tyrant state is on the loose and has been wreaking its deleterious ambitions on the lowly nations among those of the United Nations.   Citizens of the countries his troops have assumed military superiority have suffered greatly due to the chaos Putin is known to create.  And if given the license, importantly, Russia will absorb the country of Ukraine, making its people second-class Russians!  See how he supplants Ukrainian teachers with Russian teachers in areas of Ukraine under Russian-supplied local governments, already.

No, the matter of Putin's invasion of Ukraine amounts to a series of war crimes upon an independent nation's populace, may the truth emerge after the war.      

        

Monday, February 13, 2023

Mayor Bowser's implementation of the Health Aide Program, e.g., for older people

 I want to thank the City of Washington, DC, Mayor Bowser especially, for enabling me to benefit from the city's health aide program.

As I have become a productive person in my older years due to my being in the program, I am deeply appreciative of the care I have received through it.  This month, I have been recertified to become the beneficiary of a health aide for yet another year!  Thank you, DC and Ms. Bowser, the Mayor.


 

Saturday, February 11, 2023

I'm getting through!

That system is working well.  I'm able to use it.  Incredible, just like the USA.

Also, I'll need more money, please.

Yes, you guessed it: for innovation, it frequently takes cross pollinating--migration of humans!

 Important, sorry I left it to someone reminding me.  You need frequently a bunch of thinkers on the same topic, e.g., music, feeding off each other's productivity--not just talk!--but actually producing something.

Think of the conditions under which Einstein produced his famous theories.  You got to have Einsteins of this world to travel to where they're all gathering for cross pollinating of ideas, methods, and things produced!

I've said enough for this blog.  It's too important to add to.

My opinion. 

Friday, February 10, 2023

Britain needs a battery industry for its EVs!

 The US is intending a home-grown semi-conductor industry.  Why not make batteries for the many cars envisioned to come off the assembly lines in England?  It can draw on the energy resources of the North Sea, certainly.

Project "Wake up Europe!" was needed and is doing the job! Germany, et. al has heard the call to arms.

 President Biden has followed the lead of President Trump in waking up Europe to the realities of their own responsibilities to their people to adequately defend themselves and stand united on major issues confronting Europe, e.g., climate change.  In particular, Germany has recognized its invaluable role to play in this endeavor by posing as a model for the rest, including England, to withstand the threats of war and the ravages of the planet.  It truly has been a re-awakening call to arms for preparedness to fight both nature and man.

Ms. Merkel did a marvelous job pointing to the illusions, perpetrated by the Russians, of Russia's concern in the affairs of Europe, when all they want from the EU is compliance with their aggressive posture through the Kremlin to dominate the world's politics.   The US, in carrying forth its role in the project "Awaken Europe," has been urging an increase in each country's military budget.  Chancellor Scholz has risen to the occasion by doubling Germany's military budget and strengthening its commitment to NATO.

Personally, I aver for something like NATO in the Pacific; and maybe there'll be something that coalesces into an organizational structure.  The US can't do what will need to bolster the Pacific defenses from simply its island bases. 

My opinion. 

  

Thursday, February 9, 2023

Republicans are advancing the thesis that our Justice Department and the FBI are in need of oversight! Really?

 Now I can imagine a scenario in which there's plenty of need of law enforcement oversight: in non-democratic countries or where there is not allegiance to the "rule of law" principle in the administering of justice.  A case in point in the US: law enforcement officers who beat up on some civilian and think of some violation of conduct that would justify such conduct upon a civilian; then assert that violation was committed by an innocent but criminally abused citizen.  Such an incident should be the subject of judicial review.

And were the FBI were found to invent the application of a "rule of law" already on the books was applicable in asserting that x-person did the crime of stealing merchandise from a burning building, when that citizen x-person was thousands of miles away from the scene of the crime, then the incident should be the subject of criminal court review.

And why must the oversight be limited to incidents in which there is pro and con evidence of a citizen's being involved in its commitment?  The reason is because the question to be decided is only did the accused do it or was he involved in it?  The rule is not being challenged, surly, only its proper application in some instance.

Why so?  Because the system is actually working without much criticism!  We know how it works; and we know decisively that it is working, because of the manifold instances in which we believe it to work!

That is to say, there are a manifold of instances, constantly everyday, in which we act with confidence that the system is doing just fine--pronouncing "guilty" vs. "not guilty"!  And that is, there's little raising of valid objection to the jurisprudence decision on its basis. 


 

Cyber-Security: Military will likely teach the business world how to handle effectively!

I'm just listening to a discussion among federal lawmakers on how to strengthen defenses against cyber attack, especially on computer clouds.

They appear to argue that it's business that has a lot of know-how inform industry regarding the tricks of hackers.

I am led to believe it's just the opposite.  With the young kids in military uniform at the barick computer centers doing what they do best, they are likely coming up with experiments that net usable code to block those who want to hack into business systems for monetary gain--substantial, due the damage they can cause business enterprise databases.

The pointed question that the military is confronted with is, what will lure the youth to play around with the computer in ways that are beneficial to law enforcement and their counterpart in the professional security field.  Specifically, what should they tell those naive kids to do at the computer what will mimic how criminals override the checks and blocks already used in security systems meant to guard against intrusion.

They, the military, probably should make the field of cyber security attractive to recruits--both by salary pay scale as a computer nerd and in offering it as a career field while serving.  Indeed, there must be an urgent need for cyber computer security experts in business, I would imagine.  If so, the military could make a need appealing in their recruiting spiel.

And, if the military is doing all it can to promote this career path, then it might be the prisons that hold a ready reservoir of personnel to aid developing code and programs for blocking entry into the professional business systems.  

The idea I'm advancing is to put to productive use people with plenty of spare time who might be taught how to help in creating code on the computer to stop the theft of informational data on business and military systems.  Not that military recruits and members of the prison population aren't being attracted to spend their time on computers, only that there's need, I am led to believe, for countless more to be directed to spend their free time in a manner that might help society greatly!

Think of all those sailors on ships a-sailing with little to do!

         

Can China have capitalism without democracy?

Some controlled capitalism can exist, I think, in a communist country.

The problem is in non-democratic countries, innovation, a major component of capitalist structure.  The call goes out, once a major company seeks to entrench itself and stifle its competition that may come up with something better.  So, a particular company will be at the top of the competition only for a time; and then it is surpassed by a new technological shift that cannot be incorporated into the older style of a past leader.  And so, the major company's lights will have dimmed as the new rival gleams in competitive glory.

The successful company must come to assume itself possessor of the greatest possible solution to the old ways of doing things, but finds eventually that it proves to be also inefficient and costly, such that there is some other entrepreneur to improve the model and become the most successful and perhaps to remain monopolistic--for a time.

Remember, how some really successful company would buy out its competition that might prove to be even better than what the most successful has to offer in the marketplace?  Despite such attempts, some other "guy" genius would come up with a new methodology, perhaps something so new as to mean a technological revolution in its field, and subsequently, thus supplant what had cornered the market before it.

No, innovation is part of the capitalist scenario to advance technology from what is in current use, i.e., the innovation, followed by competition where the new and very different wins out over the traditional, and becomes the king of the mountain, until it, too, succumbs to some innovative, new process or product.  And, the capitalist beat goes on!

Poor Jack Ma's company.  The communist regime ultimately has tried to control his company and his mind!  He, too, must conform to the ultimate principle of letting his communist leaders take his profits and with it, run the country as they, the communists, desire it to be.  His money, which technically should be distributed in large measure among the stockholders of the enterprises he owns, becomes, by and large, the largesse in their bank accounts!  Essentially, Jack Ma didn't realize, he is working for his communist establishment that rules over every company in China.  His money--all of it, if these communists decide--is their money!

And were Jack Ma to think otherwise than that his money is actually the state's, he would be recruited into some Chinese thought-retraining camp, currently populated with Muslims (I understand).

   

 

   

What ties the Free World Together? Philosophy: democracy; Use of technology and organizational unity.

There must be commonality in culture.  Not everybody is doing the same, but it should be easy to go from one system a country deploys to another of another country!  That is so, one can readily be trained on this or that system.  There is continuity of methodology.  Look at how the Ukrainians must be able to use one or another weaponry with ease!  Just as it is a cinch to go from one country to another in the free world, so it is with ease one can adopt to another culture within the parameters of thinking and living in a technologically advanced democracy. 

The advanced nations must train and retrain and retrain again to establish such bounds of commonality of culture and achievement in progress--to which each society is committed to attain.  It is a world of peace and progress in the development of the human species to pursue a future in common for all mankind.  

Our common moral purpose in what we do: strive to make things better for ourselves and our world.