On November 15, 2021 online 10 AM-12 noon the Brookings aired a panel discussion and a keynote conversation. Discussants on the panel were Fiona Hill. Brookings, Mark Leonard, European Council on Foreign Relations, Constanze Stelzenmuller, Center on US and Europe--Brookings; moderated by James Goldgerer, Center on US and Europe--Brookings. In keynote conversation were the French Minister of State for European Affairs, Mr. Clement Beaune and Ms. Celia Belin, Bookings.
The topic is timely in that currently Poland is preventing emigres from the Syrian civil war, the Rohingya driven from Myanmar and Afghans fleeing their homeland from entering Poland. While the Belarusian President may have permitted these people to enter Belarus, both Poland and Latvia have kept most of them out. Anti-immigrant feelings seem strong in the EU.
In this situation, one is harkened back to the cold war, where NATO functioned as a military power to prevent Russia and its satellites from forcing their will upon the European democracies. Should, then, NATO become involved in this dispute pertaining to the migration of Eastern peoples into Europe?
No longer is Russia the USSR powerful Empire. Really, do the countries of western Europe have any powerful nation threatening any one of them? And, if not, ought there not to be a new understanding of the relations between the US and its friends in the EU and the country of England? Specifically, should the US participate in a defense of Europe in peacetime?
And these days, Russia is dependent upon selling its oil to Europe's conglomerate of states. It's current GDP is akin to that of Italy's and certainly not a financial giant it once was, despite its retention of nuclear status among nations.
What has come to pass since the rebuilding of Europe is that countries that represented the Allied Forces of WWII in Europe have drifted apart, noticeably with the severing of ties of England from the EU, most of whom fought against Germany at one time or another.
Nevertheless, participants in the panel discussion alluded to NATO's current role in protecting the sovereignty of Ukraine. And noted too, is the traditional role of Belarus as a good puppet to Russia's dominance in the region.
Could there be an escalation of the border issue between Belarus and Poland that would ever lead to armed conflict? Even to the point of bringing in the nuclear might of Russia to end the intransigence of Poland as as to permit emigres of the East passage through their country?
Nevertheless, Great Britain has sent troops to Ukraine to support it in its fight for independence, while, notes Ms. Hill, Biden is busy addressing issues of infrastructure that precludes the passage of his program through Congress in its entirety.
Some participants raised the point that the EU is really a partnership of countries with similar history and maintaining shared values. Because of that social binding, they will stick together, while the internal strife between Democrats and Republicans heats up over the 2022 mid-term election in the US!
In the keynote conversation that transpired after the panel disbursed, Mr. Beune urged NATO provide France greater responsibility in the planning and carryout of the NATO mission in Europe. What, however, he did not mention is whether along with a greater responsibility France would increase its contribution to the NATO budget. The US has been carrying much of the financial burden of providing a defensive posture to western Europe, now including Ukraine--as former President Donald Trump has argued.